Doodaha ku saabsan mustaqbalka Yemen waxaa inta badan lagu soo koobaa xabbad-joojin, dawlado kumeel-gaar ah, ama qaabab awood-qaybsi oo dibadda laga soo hindisay. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, waxaa jira hal arrin oo mar walba la dhinac maro inkasta oo ay udub-dhexaad u tahay muddada uu dagaalku siday: waa maqaamka siyaasadeed ee aan weli la xallin ee Koonfurta Yemen. Taariikhda iyo Midowgii Fashilmay Koonfurta Yemen waxay ahayd dawlad madaxbannaan oo caalamku aqoonsan yahay ilaa sannadkii 1990-kii, waxaana loo yaqaannay Jamhuuriyadda Dimuqraadiga Shacbiga ee Yemen (PDRY). Waxay lahayd xuduudo go’an, hay’ado dawladeed, iyo xubinimo Qaramada Midoobay ah. Heshiiskii midowga ee lala galay Waqooyiga Yemen waxaa loo soo bandhigay inuu yahay iskaashi dhex maray laba dhinac oo siman oo si mutaddawacnimo ah isugu biiray. Laakiin xaqiiqadii, midowgaas si dhakhso ah ayuu u burburay, wuxuuna horseeday dagaalkii 1994-tii iyo in si nidaamsan loo gacan-bidheeyo dhinaca siyaasadda iyo dhaqaalaha ee da...
In a move that has heightened regional tensions, Ethiopia recently requested negotiations with Somalia to secure access to a Red Sea port, a plea that was met with a firm decline. The standoff centers around Ethiopia's desire for direct access to the Red Sea, which it lost when Eritrea gained independence in 1993 after a three-decade-long conflict.
Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed last week sounded a warning about the potential for future conflict if his country continued to lack direct access to a harbor. He urged the need for a resolution to this issue to maintain regional stability.
Somalia's State Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ali Omar, conveyed his country's unwavering commitment to peace, security, trade, and integration but firmly stated that Somalia is not inclined to grant access to a strategic asset like a port. He emphasized the sacrosanct nature of Somalia's sovereignty and territorial integrity, declaring them non-negotiable.
During a televised lecture on October 13, Prime Minister Abiy asserted Ethiopia's "natural rights" to access the Red Sea directly. He warned that the denial of such access could lead to unfairness and injustice, potentially leading to conflict. Abiy even proposed offering shares in the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam in exchange for comparable stakes in neighboring nations' ports.
These remarks were met with concern, especially from Eritrea, which considered them "excessive" and perplexing to observers. Ethiopia's stance on the Red Sea issue has been consistent, but the recent directness of the language used has raised alarms.
Alexis Mohamed, a top adviser to Djibouti's President, Ismail Omar Guelleh, commented on the situation, stating that Djibouti is open to peaceful means of accessing the Red Sea and has always been willing to maintain good relations with neighboring countries, especially Ethiopia. He also noted that Djibouti has been accommodating by granting access to Ethiopia's navy, an action seen as a positive step.
As this complex diplomatic situation unfolds, it underscores the significance of maritime access and the potential for regional tensions when countries have differing interests and viewpoints. The need for peaceful negotiations and diplomatic solutions is evident to ensure stability and cooperation in the Horn of Africa. The region will be closely watched as these developments continue to unfold.
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