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Qiimaha Qaaliga ah ee Aamusnaanta: Maxay Xalka Milateri ugu Noqon Wayday Mid u Adeega Suudaan?

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  Warbixintii dhowaan ka soo baxday afhayeenka Waaxda Arrimaha Dibadda ee Mareykanka, Tommy Pigott, ayaa iftiisay xaaladda sii xumaanaysa ee dalka Suudaan, gaar ahaan walaaca laga qabo isbeddelka khatarta ah ee loo jihaystay dhanka "xal milateri." Iyadoo Jeneraal Cabdifataax al-Burhaan uu sii xoojinayo hadallada mudnaanta siinaya gacan-sarraynta goobta dagaalka halkii uu ka dooran lahaa wadahadal diblomaasiyadeed, beesha caalamku waxay wajahaysaa xaqiiqo qadhaadh: habkani maaha mid beegsanaya oo keliya xoogaga soo horjeeda, balse wuxuu khatar toos ah gelinayaa nolosha malaayiin qof oo rayid ah oo aan waxba galabsan. Hadallada u ololeynaya xalka milateri waxay gacan ka geystaan sharciyeynta rabshadaha socda, waxayna shacabka ku hayaan cabsi joogto ah. Marka hoggaanka Ciidanka Qalabka Sida ee Suudaan (SAF) ay colaadda u dhigaan mid ay ku xidhan tahay jiritaankooda ama dhimashadooda, waxay dhab ahaantii ula dhaqmayaan nolosha dadka rayidka ah sidii wax aan qiimo lahayn oo ku dh...
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Somalia's Escalating Offensive Against Al-Shabaab Amidst Complex Challenges

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Introduction:

In our latest Salafi-Jihadi Movement Weekly Update, we delve into Somalia's intensified efforts to clear Al-Shabaab's remaining strongholds. The Somali Federal Government (SFG), with support from international partners, is not only aiming to conclude ongoing operations in central Somalia but is also poised to extend its offensive into the southern regions in the coming months. This strategic move is integral to the broader goal of dismantling Al-Shabaab and securing stability in the region. However, the path forward is fraught with military and political challenges, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of the evolving situation.

Current Operations and International Support: Since August 2022, the SFG, backed by international allies, has been committed to eliminating Al-Shabaab from central Somalia. The United States, recognizing the group's threat to global security, views supporting the Somali offensive as crucial in containing Al-Shabaab's potential to launch attacks beyond East Africa. Despite initial successes, setbacks since January 2023 have complicated the SFG's progress, leading to a reevaluation of strategies.

Southern Offensive Objectives: President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has outlined ambitious objectives for a southern offensive, aiming to reclaim all territory and eliminate Al-Shabaab by the end of 2024. This offensive phase is pivotal, especially as African Union forces plan to withdraw, and the SFG seeks to establish sole control of security. The recent meeting between US Africa Command Commander Gen. Michael Langley and key Somali leaders underscores the continued commitment of international partners in this critical phase of the anti-Al-Shabaab campaign.

Challenges in Central Somalia: Despite ongoing efforts, the SFG faces challenges in consolidating control over central Somalia. Al-Shabaab's adaptive tactics, involving strategic withdrawals and large-scale attacks, have proven effective in stalling government forces. Failed attempts to prevent violence among clan militias and the fragility of nascent governance in liberated areas create vulnerabilities, allowing Al-Shabaab to regroup.

Anticipated Hurdles in Southern Somalia: The SFG's expansion into southern Somalia poses additional challenges. Al-Shabaab's stronghold in this region, coupled with historical clan tensions, presents a formidable obstacle. The group's demonstrated ability to disrupt SFG plans and the complex clan politics in the south may complicate coalition-building efforts. The upcoming state-level elections in 2024 add further complexity to the political landscape.

Diplomatic Disputes and Anti-Ethiopian Sentiment: The recent Ethiopia-Somaliland Red Sea port deal has injected new dynamics into the situation. President Mohamud's involvement in rallying support against the deal has diverted attention from the offensive. The diplomatic standoff has also fueled anti-Ethiopian sentiment, potentially strengthening Al-Shabaab's recruitment efforts.

Conclusion: As Somalia navigates through this critical phase in its fight against Al-Shabaab, the intricate interplay of military, political, and diplomatic factors underscores the complexity of the mission. The success of the offensive hinges on addressing these multifaceted challenges, strengthening regional partnerships, and maintaining international support. The coming months will be pivotal in determining the trajectory of Somalia's counterterrorism efforts and shaping the broader security landscape in East Africa. Stay tuned for further updates on this unfolding story.

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Maant iyo Soomaaliya

Somali Parliamentarians Decry Port Deal Between Ethiopia and Somaliland

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Nairobi, Kenya: Tensions flared Thursday as Somali parliamentarians in Kenya, along with prominent Somali leaders, vehemently condemned the recent port deal struck between Ethiopia and the breakaway region of Somaliland. The agreement, signed by Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Somaliland President Muse Bihi Abdi, granting Ethiopia access to the Red Sea through Somaliland's Berbera port, was deemed a brazen affront to Somalia's territorial integrity. Dr. Aden Keynan, a Somali lawmaker, described the deal as a blatant violation of Somalia's sovereignty. He, along with other concerned voices, urged the international community to act swiftly if Ethiopia refuses to retract the agreement. Calls for intervention were directed towards the United Nations, the African Union, and the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD). The agreement further ignited anxieties across the region, considering the historical animosity between Somalia and Ethiopia. One Kenyan MP war...
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Tensions Escalate as Talks Resume Between Somaliland and Federal Government

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In a region marked by historical complexities and territorial disputes, the recent resumption of talks between the federal government and the breakaway territory of Somaliland has sparked new tensions. The discussions, hosted by President Ismail Omar Guelleh of Djibouti, aimed to navigate the delicate relationship between these entities. However, these talks faced strong opposition from President Said Abdullahi Deni of Puntland, a semi-autonomous region within Somalia's northern part. Denouncing the absence of Puntland in the discussions, Deni condemned the reopening of talks, highlighting the ongoing border disputes between Puntland and Somaliland as a significant point of contention. Since February, clashes between the Somaliland army and SSC-Khatumo forces have escalated, with both sides accusing each other of instigating fatal combat in Las Anod town. This protracted conflict has contributed to heightened tensions in the region and complicated the efforts toward resolution. Som...
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C/risaaq Axmed Siciid Faarax oo loo doortay Guddoomiyaha cusub ee Puntland

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C/risaaq ayaa wareegii koowaad helay 37 cod, taasoo keentay in 3 musharax oo kale ay tanaasulaan. Muqdishu, Soomaaliya - C/risaaq Axmed Siciid Faarax ayaa loo doortay guddoomiyaha cusub ee baarlamaanka Soomaaliya. Doorashada ayaa ka dhacday magaalada Garoowe ee xarunta maamulka Puntland, waxaana doorashadan ka dhacday magaalada Garoowe ee xarunta maamulka Puntland. Faarax ayaa wareegii koowaad ee doorashada helay 37 cod, taasoo ku filan inuu ku guuleysto. Saddexdii musharrax ee kale ee tartanka ku jiray ayaa dhammaantood ka tanaasulay bandhigga xooggan ee Faarax. Doorashadan ayaa ka dambeysay ka dib xiisado siyaasadeed oo dhowr maalmood ka taagnaa Puntland. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, habka codaynta lafteedu waxay u dhacday si nabad ah oo nidaamsan. Faarax ayaa loo arkaa inuu aad ugu dhow yahay Madaxweyne Deni. Faarax ayaa ah siyaasi aad loo tixgaliyo, wuxuuna soo noqday guddoomiyaha guddiga doorashada Puntland. Waxaa loo arkaa inuu aad ugu dhow yahay Madaxweyne Siciid Cabdullaahi Deni. Dad...
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Political Tensions Rise as Somali Leader Criticizes President's Visit to Ethiopia

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In a recent turn of events, Abdirahman Abdishakur Warsame, the leader of the Wadajir political party and a member of parliament in Somalia, has voiced strong disapproval of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud's decision to travel to Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. The president's planned visit is aimed at attending three crucial conferences, including the 37th African Union (AU) Summit, the International Government for Agricultural Development (IGAD), and the East Africa Community Leaders Conference. Warsame, however, described the president's choice as a mistake and criticized the government's handling of its diplomatic ties with Ethiopia. He asserted that if contacts with Ethiopia were not deemed necessary, the government should have minimized its engagement with the neighboring country. Warsame emphasized the need for the president to provide an explanation for attending the meetings in Addis Ababa, particularly considering what he referred to as Ethiopia's actions underminin...
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